Super Tuesday

Today's going to be big.

I would not be surprised if by tomorrow we had 2 fewer Democratic Presidential candidates. All signs seem to point to Kerry solidifying his front-runner position while things are starting to look a bit desperate in the Dean camp, with only $3 million in the war chest and a dwindling campaign staff. Edwards and Clark will be battling for a win in the Southern states, which Clark especially will need to give his campaign a breath of fresh air. Lieberman seems to be just hanging in there, while Kucinich and Sharpton.... well, I don't think anyone's losing any sleep over them.

So what I want to know is - with it seeming increasingly-likely that we could be looking at a Bush-Kerry matchup, and there being a real contest (note Monday's CNN poll showing Kerry beating Bush 53% to 46%) - where are the expat groups in support of Kerry? Edwards?

All along most of the expat groups have been for Dean or Clark, which is a side-effect of the grassroots way in which both campaigns have been run - and of course, these days grassroots = internet. Does the fact that Kerry is running an old fashioned "insider" campaign, with the internet as a sideshow rather than the main event, mean that expats are less likely to organize in support of him? What do you all reckon?

By the way, Doonesbury had something to say about John Kerry - 33 years ago.

Update

I suppose it never hurts to look at the candidate's own site: Americans Overseas for Kerry. Any of you folks involved?

Comments

[Greg]

I have to admit I'll be sorry to see Dean go, although that seems to be some way off yet. He may still mount a sufficiently robust campaign to make a go at the convention, but Kerry is running so strong, he does look to be the candidate to beat. What bothers me about Kerry is much the same as what always bothered me about Gore: very Statesman, but not particularly Executive. He doesn't really have the kind of leadership background of Dean, who, like Clinton and other ex-governors, has held executive office, and that makes a difference, both in demeanor and in what's being called "electability." He comes across as a thinking machine, not as a dynamo. Dean has the energy, the verve to drive a campaign. I'm not sure why he's faltered, but perhaps the latest conventional wisdom has some truth, that he's banked too heavily on the grassroots impetus afforded by taking early advantage of the internet without developing a sufficiently robust long-term strategy. Kerry, as a career legislator on the Federal level, has that in spades.

http://edition.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/02/02/elec04.poll.prez/

[Luke]

Re: that last comment - er, yes, I've seen that poll - it's linked within the post :)